Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.024929 0.026824 0.028802 0.031022 0.033449 0.036024 0.038966
2025-01-05 0.021697 0.024373 0.027312 0.030790 0.034807 0.039316 0.044782
2025-01-12 0.019246 0.022314 0.025814 0.030121 0.035308 0.041390 0.049114
2025-01-19 0.017919 0.021324 0.025330 0.030427 0.036787 0.044529 0.054766
2025-01-26 0.016704 0.020315 0.024676 0.030381 0.037721 0.046949 0.059590
2025-02-02 0.015887 0.019701 0.024417 0.030745 0.039118 0.049963 0.065318
2025-02-09 0.014912 0.018803 0.023713 0.030448 0.039578 0.051719 0.069421
2025-02-16 0.014127 0.018088 0.023180 0.030309 0.040194 0.053671 0.073874
2025-02-23 0.013393 0.017388 0.022612 0.030062 0.040613 0.055331 0.077978
2025-03-02 0.012817 0.016862 0.022236 0.030039 0.041315 0.057398 0.082786
2025-03-09 0.012161 0.016186 0.021613 0.029619 0.041401 0.058548 0.086252
2025-03-16 0.011515 0.015492 0.020924 0.029056 0.041227 0.059275 0.089078
2025-03-23 0.011005 0.014967 0.020453 0.028790 0.041485 0.060681 0.093108
2025-03-30 0.010525 0.014463 0.019985 0.028499 0.041680 0.061989 0.097064
2025-04-06 0.009982 0.013844 0.019319 0.027871 0.041309 0.062366 0.099469
2025-04-13 0.009736 0.013643 0.019254 0.028146 0.042358 0.065066 0.106015
2025-04-20 0.009420 0.013324 0.018995 0.028103 0.042888 0.066935 0.111237
2025-04-27 0.009224 0.013173 0.018980 0.028435 0.044036 0.069892 0.118621
2025-05-04 0.008886 0.012794 0.018599 0.028164 0.044164 0.071112 0.122899
2025-05-11 0.008605 0.012489 0.018319 0.028037 0.044522 0.072737 0.128050
2025-05-18 0.008316 0.012163 0.017990 0.027812 0.044693 0.074036 0.132660
2025-05-25 0.008092 0.011926 0.017792 0.027791 0.045211 0.075977 0.138669
2025-06-01 0.007798 0.011570 0.017390 0.027408 0.045069 0.076698 0.142280